Thursday 24 January 2013

DEMOCRACY AND CONTEMPORARY CHALLENGES IN NIGERIA: WHICH WAY FORWARD?

Foremost it delights me much for the honour done me as one chosen to share with this prestigious audience my ideas on contemporary political challenges of the national political community known as Nigeria. This opportunity to my mind is not to proffer solutions to the complex political situations which the chemistry and profile of this audience dwarfed my status. My guess most probably is that the organizers choice of my person is anchored on the fact that from my background I may be capable of provoking ideas that will engage the experiences of the audience that may result in providing solutions to some ground breaking challenges threatening the basic social fabric national unity.
The choice of the topic could not have been more appropriate than on an occasion of this nature where the role of the midwife of this democratic experiment has been chronicled into document for public presentation. Also of great significant is the audience, a critical constituent with capacity to influence the political will that may affect positive national decisions or at best participate directly in guaranteeing that previous efforts of national unity is not mismanaged. Therefore, I concurred with the organizers in the choice of the topic believing that at the end of it all my opinions will instigate the development of conscious template to address some of our national challenges.

In confronting this herculean task, I have adopted a conventional method which provides me with academic life jacket to navigate this storm with relative ease.

Unfolding developments within the nation since the inception of this democratic experiment have generated debates within political, academic and legal parlance about future of Nigerian federation. Of utmost concern is graduating regime of violent crimes, religious and ethnic tension. Consequently, economic and social activities have been in comatose in most commercial cities mostly in the Northern States, thereby justifying the basis for the debate that the state of the union is in near jeopardy. Security challenges have dominated every national discourse. The insurgency question has been so much exaggerated and mystified that phobia and mutual suspicion determines every aspect of public relationships.

The capacity of the state to contend with these challenges obviously is below citizen’s average expectations.

Analysts and Public Commentators hold varying opinions about the origin and motives of the situation. According to a renounce African Scholar, Ali Mazuiri (2001), amongst the things that trigger the Sharia advocacy in some northern states of Nigeria, was the resentment of being at the periphery of Nigerian politics and power configuration. There were points when the northern leaders held sway politically in the power configuration, but the 1999 elections, saw the balance of power shifting south without any remarkable transformation in the economics of the north. Hence, the politics of Sharia advocacy was part of a protest against regional economic in equalities existing in Nigeria.

On the contrary, others considered it from a religious perspective as an Islamic machine for islamization of Nigeria. The latter School is popular among some Christians while the former is a political theory orchestrated mostly by a segment of Southern Political elites. Either way the situation is assessed; the country is face with the dilemma of ravaging hunger, poverty, unemployment, corruption put against rising profile of insecurity. The summary of these traumatic trends explains the agitation for a National Sovereign Conference, (NSC) as option to resolving certain national questions.

However, our preoccupation here is limited to appraising democratic experiment with attendant challenges with a view to proffering solutions that may be of significance to driving the nation towards social harmony and progress. It is therefore imperative to locate the key concept within the context of our bearings.

The term democracy is derived from the Greek dēmokratiā, which was coined from dēmos (“people”) and kratos (“rule”) in the middle of the 5th century BC to denote the political systems then existing in some Greek city-states, notably Athens.

According to Hobbes (Leviathan, 1651), the state of nature was one in which there were no enforceable criteria of right and wrong. Each person took for himself all that he could; human life was “solitary, poor, nasty, brutish and short.” The state of nature was therefore a state of war, which could be ended only if individuals agreed (in a social contract) to give their liberty into the hands of a sovereign, who was thenceforward absolute, on the sole condition that their lives were safeguarded by sovereign power.

If a government of or by the people a “popular” government is to be established, at least some fundamental questions must be confronted at the outset and while others may arise latter if the democracy continues to exist for long.

(1) What is the appropriate association within which a democratic government should be established?
(2) Given an appropriate association, who among its members should enjoy full citizenship? In other word which persons, should constitute the dēmos? Is every member of the association entitled to participate in governing it? If it includes only a subset of the adult population, how small can the subset be before the association ceases to be a democracy and becomes something else, such as an aristocracy (government by the best, aristos) or an oligarchy (government by the few, oligos)?

(3) Assuming a proper association and proper dēmos, how are citizens to govern? What political organizations or institutions will they need? Will these institutions differ between different kinds of associations?

(4) When citizens are divided on an issue, as they often will be, whose views should prevail, and in what circumstances? Should a majority always prevail, or should minorities sometimes be empowered to block or overcome majority rule?

(5) If a majority is ordinarily to prevail, what is to constitute a proper majority? Is this a majority of all citizens or of voters?

(6) The preceding questions presuppose an adequate answer to a sixth and even more important question: Why should “the people” rule and is democracy really better than aristocracy or monarchy?

No association could maintain a democratic government for very long if a majority of the dēmos or a majority of the government believed that some other form of government were better. Thus, a minimum condition for the continued existence of a democracy is that a substantial proportion of both the dēmos and the leadership believe that popular government is better than any feasible alternative.

FEATURES OF IDEAL DEMOCRACY:
At a minimum, an ideal democracy would have the following features:
Effective participation; - Before a policy is adopted or rejected, members of the dēmos have the opportunity to make their views about the policy known to other members.

Equality in voting:-Members of the dēmos have the opportunity to vote for or against the policy, and all votes are counted as equal.

Informed electorate:-Members of the dēmos have the opportunity, within a reasonable amount of time, to learn about the policy and about possible alternative policies and their likely consequences.

Citizen control of the agenda:-The dēmos and only the dēmos, decides what matters are placed on the decision-making agenda and how they are placed there. Thus, the democratic process is “open” in the sense that the dēmos can change the policies of the association at any time.

Inclusion:-Each and every member of the dēmos is entitled to participate in the association in the ways just described.

Fundamental Rights:-Each of the necessary features of ideal democracy prescribes a right that is itself a necessary feature of ideal democracy: thus every member of the dēmos has a right to communicate with others, a right to have his voted counted equally with the votes of others, a right to gather information, a right to participate on an equal footing with other members, and a right, with other members, to exercise control of the agenda. Democracy, therefore, consists of more than just political processes; it is also necessarily a system of fundamental rights.

The history of democracy in Nigeria is traceable to independent from British Colonial rule in 1960. Thereafter there has been series of attempts to entrench democratic culture which suffered military interventions with adverse consequences on evolution of democracy. However, contemporary dispensation dates back to 1999 which has survived a historic civilian to civilian transition in 2007, a development which symbolizes political maturity and semblance of stability. Also of mention was the politics of the health of late President Musa Yardua, which generated constitutional controversy that was resolved by the legislative fiat known as “doctrine of necessity”. Even though it succeeded greatly in dosing tension in the polity it also introduced political animosity in the power shift arrangement referred to as zoning which characterized the 2011 general elections.

Although, it is past, the ghost of these challenges still hunts the political will power to effectively consign it to footnote of history. Bye and large, these experiences to my mind reinforces hope in Nigeria’s capacity to manage its domestic affairs within the frame of democratic tenets.

Despite all these, social stability appears remote as the nation is faced with multi-dimensional challenges ranging from corruption, unemployment, poverty, hunger, violent crimes, insurgency, leadership etc. Of course, these has generated serious concern about the future of the federation which may explain some of the agitations for true federalism, constitutional review, National sovereign Conference (NSC) or outright disintegration.

CONTEMPORARY CHALLENGES:
Religious and Ethnic intolerance: Christians and Muslims locked horns in human carnage claiming to be serving the will of Almighty God who created life. The rate at which these differences had contributed to social convulsion is beyond conception. The rationale behind this line of reasoning is unacceptable. The Holy Bible says “God created man in His own image and likeness” meaning that man is the image of God on earth. So if you kill another human being you are destroying the image of God. More so that the Ten Commandments say “thou shall not kill”. Here the Scriptures does not provide for justification for shedding innocent blood. So where do those who killed in the name of religion derive their authority?

Historically, there has been no war between Christianity and Islam. The two religions have complimented the efforts of each other in times of external threats as early Muslims were provided refuge by Christians. To be precise, at the formative stage of Islam, the pagan authorities in the Arabian Peninsula of Mecca resisted Islam because it was considered threat to the establishment.

In a reaction Prophet Muhammad Bin Abdullah (Peace be upon Him) asked his followers to go to Abyssinia, which is today’s Ethiopia. He said “there was a King, a Christian but a man of justice”. Of course early Muslims were provided asylum by King Negus of Abyssinia. He resisted diplomatic efforts by the Mecca authorities to extradite them because according to him, “their religion and my religion originated from the same source, because it believed in Jesus as the son of Mary”.

In a letter of appreciation written to King Negus, Prophet, Mohammed, (Peace be upon Him) stated in categorical terms that there is no jihad against the Christians neither shall any Muslim raise his hands against them or their worship places because they are men of the book.

Why have Christians and Muslims abandoned these virtues of these great spiritual leaders? Are we today more pious than them? Certainly No, except that we may be more corrupt than them. Religion in this country has been politicized into an enterprise devoid of service of God rather for the projection of self aggrandizement. God is the owner of religion, He alone chooses who to give, how and why?

SOCIAL INJUSTICE:
The exaggeration of indigene-settlers dichotomy under this dispensation has inflamed conflict dimensions in the polity with severe impact on national cohesion. This phenomena entails denial of basic citizen rights to populations which are considered non indigenous. The indigene-settler dichotomy even though unconstitutional is well engraved in the sub consciousness of the leadership of most States of the federation.

Even though some ethnic nationalities had live for over two hundred years in such communities they are yet qualify as indigenes of those States. This ugly scenario is notorious among the ethnic minorities in Northern states which has been responsible for spate of crisis. The dangerous dimension it has created is indoctrination of ethnic hatred as part of the social values in the affected areas. There is no doubt the future can better be analyzed with the social barometer of ugly history.

Therefore, the constituent parts of the country must be and indeed feel that they are being carried along in the process of national governance. Experience has shown that widespread discontent and loss of confidence in the system have ways of affecting national political stability. Invariably continuing escalation of violence and crises across the country will impinge on the survival of our democracy.

Beyond the effects of security concerns on the economic fortunes of the country, the nature of the security challenges facing the country also have implications for the country's political system. As mentioned earlier, social cohesion among various groups and interests is important in the process of national political development. (Abdulsalami Abubakar, 2005)

POVERTY, HUNGER AND UNEMPLOYMENT:
The essence of leadership in any social context is improvement of welfare of members of the society. Of utmost Significant is protection of lives and properties, creation of conducive environment to facilitate wealth creation. Over the years there has been deliberate neglect or lip service attention to these issues; consequently, it has impoverished the citizenry that exposed them to easy manipulation for violent culture.

Where the society is properly organized with citizens dutifully engaged in economic activities, then violent crimes will be minimized to zero tolerance. This will avail opportunity not only to participate in economic activities but also accord stake in the management of affairs. On the contrary, where the citizens are isolated as it is the case, then the people will be reduced to mere pawns in the power equations of the ruling elites, a situation inimical to harmonious co–existence.

Indeed, the current security challenges can be factored within this theory. People are so poor that what to eat as human beings are insurmountable hurdles. I shed tears in Jos one day when at a car wash an elderly woman with her granddaughter has nothing to survive on except to pick mangoes from a tree. The situation is so bad that people have resorted to the state of nature for survival.

The consequences of leadership immorality has generated unwholesome consequences to human development, as a result all variants of violent behaviors have dominated social relationships. Minor gestures can provoke explosive reaction due to excruciating pains inflicted by poverty, hunger or unemployment.

Therefore, it is imperative that in seeking solutions to contemporary challenges, genuine efforts must be tailored towards combating poverty, hunger and unemployment. Unfortunately, these negative tendencies are re-enforced by unfocused leadership driven by parochial sentiments for sectional nationalism. Nigeria will be better for it only if patriotic and selfless leadership based on vision of founding fathers is the compass.

YOUTH RESTIVENESS:
In Nigeria there is no generally accepted definition of youth. The concept is conveniently manipulated in favour of prevailing social dynamics. The age of 18 is recognized by statutes as the age of criminal liability and qualification for holding public responsibilities. The only attempt to define youth is contained in the National Youth Policy which conceives youth as any person within the ages of 18 and 35. Even this provision is observed more in breached because majority of the officers in the National Youth Council of Nigeria are in their late fifties and early sixties.

Little wonder the National Youth leader of the ruling party is said to be over 60 years of age, a scenario that defeats the hope for the upcoming generation. The graduation with the definition of the concept youth from the older generation to the graves without consideration for future has been contended as a major factor responsible for distrust which contributed to current social instability. Unless efforts are mobilize by the advanced generation to regularize these negative trends mutual suspicion will continue to grief the society.

The saying that the youth are leaders of tomorrow must be guaranteed practically. Concrete policies for realizing this ideologue must be demonstrated to create avenues for re-orientation of the youths in preparation for higher responsibilities. Therefore, there is need to ensure that the National Youth Development Policy is implemented with sincere commitments to regenerate confidence of youths as therapy to restiveness.

Arguing in favour of this, Robert Kennedy (1960) has this to say, “this world demands the qualities of youth: not a time of life but a state of mind, a temper of will, a quality of imagination, a predominance of courage over timidity, of the appetite for adventure over the life of ease”

The poor management of the security situation may have been provoked by unanticipated panic of leadership. The reduction of the concept of national security to mobilization of force to embark on rampage by destruction of lives and properties of innocent citizen defeats the essence.

The imperative of effective security measures must crystallized into intelligence networking consolidated within the good will of citizenry which in turn define the scope of engagements. There must be collaboration between the security system and the community as basis of confronting any security challenge; anything below this margin will tilt the balance in favour of insurgency.

The excesses of security agencies in handling challenges leaves much to be desired whether war has been declared on the country by its own security service. Nauseating reports of extra judicial massacre by those engaged to restore normalcy has completely destroyed the confidence of Nigerians. This despicable scenario had generated trauma of been under siege in the flash point zones. It is necessary the Federal Government re-appraise the impact of engagements of the military in internal security operations otherwise the consequences on national cohesion will be great.

Exploiting the benefits of fore sight Abdulsalami (2005) suggested thus, accordingly, there is the challenge to rethink and improve on policy and institutional means of dealing with security concerns arising in the country. At the political level, the federal, state and local governments should evolve programmes of cultural and political education and orientation that seek to enthrone the fundamentals of democracy so that the political contestants as well as the generality of the citizens imbibe principles and practices essential for sustainable democracy. Such programmes must also address specific tendencies that create security breach and concerns in the country.

CORRUPTION:
The institutionalization of corrupt culture in all sphere of public activities is the major challenge to survival of democracy. The systematic re-construction of leadership from trust to reflection of personal interest of repository of state power is corruption by all definitions. Consequently, resources meant for developments are redirected to service unjustifiable security budgets of the self styled first families. Apart from these wastage, the conduct of leadership in managing scare resources has been responsible for national instability. Corruption has dominated our national psyche so much so that it looks unusual to stand against it.

According to Loimeier,(2003), Corrupt and power hungry politicians, who hijacked votes and self imposed leaders, declare billions of fictitious amounts of naira as assets only to be recouped as investments through falsification and over pricing of contracts awards, in spite of the existence of framework of due process and diligence in contract awards and procurements.

Looting of public treasury has inflicted colossal damage to collective psyche of unity. In every segments of the National political community, statistics indicated the domestication of poverty, hunger and youth unemployment through discredited Poverty Eradication or Empowerment Programs which are mere conduits for siphoning national wealth. The rate of citizens surviving beyond poverty margin is quite outrageous but government continues giving lips service to this social menace.
In this circumstance, instability determines the context of social relationships which to my mind explains succinctly the current security challenges confronting the nation.

Addressing these conflict situations requires radical social surgery of leadership with the determination to lay solid base for peace and harmony. Leadership is a burden which must not be sacrifice for political convenience even when it is clear that the figure under consideration may lack the capacity to pilot state affairs. Severe sanctions including death penalty is hereby recommended as alternative to combating corrupt practices.

FREE, FAIR AND CREDIBLE DEMOCRATIC ELECTIONS
While the current democratic enterprise has produce a self-style imposed and deceptive leaders, who lead by deception and create Islamic revivalism to mobilise and capture cheap support by claiming to be introducing Islamic legal principles amidst massive collapse of services, poverty, failed governance, absence of social justice and a fair electoral process which produced consensus candidates that lack legitimacy, (Lubeck, 2003)

Former Lagos state Governor, Bola Tinubu (2009) contended that Holding free, fair and credible elections is the greatest challenge or perhaps threat, if I must be blunt, to the Fourth Republic. “Periodic elections do not make a democratic nation,” once thundered Prof. Adebayo Williams in “Democracy and its Discontent,” an article he wrote for African Today magazine in October 2007. “That is sheer electoralism”. And so, it has been with our country. On the fidelity of the vote, the core foundation of democracy, therefore, our country is faring very badly at each passing election. This is a very disturbing trend as, in this particular case; nobody can talk of “consolidating democracy” as nothing can be built on air. This is the greatest single threat to our democratic survival. That is why sweeping electoral reforms are not only imperative but also inevitable.

Contributing to this Alex Ekwueme (2005) stated that it was federal parliamentary elections of December 1964 and the farcical Western Region parliamentary elections of October 1965. One of the reasons proffered by the military for take-over of government on December 31 1983 was the much criticized (by "opposition” parties) elections of August 1983. In all these cases it was suggested that the incumbency element was a contributory factor to the flaw in the electoral process. The same criticism has visited the April 19 (4.19) elections of 2003. Accordingly, in order to cure the mischief of possible abuse of the electoral process taking advantage of the incumbency factor, it was provided that the President and Governors should have a 5 year term without self succession.

Sunday Ochoche noted that electoral fraud poses a major challenge to democracy in Nigeria and by implication, poses threat to the security of the nation. Electoral fraud desecrates the sanctity of democracy and weakens its capacity as an instrument for the mobilization of national, human and material resources for the development of the people and the state. And in an environment where development is security and security is development, the consequences of such acts catch up very quickly with the system.

One area in which electoral fraud in Nigeria manifests in an alarming manner is the area of voter registration. Voters are the ammunition of elections and contestants win by amassing as many as possible. In a game where fraud is systemic, the strength and competence of the "referee" questionable, the dubious accumulation of the essential arms of the war is only natural.

Closely related to the conflict paradigm is the theory of collapse of political institutions which naturally safeguards democratic culture for evolution of leadership. The inability of our electoral system to guarantee credible elections is at the centre of generating vote of no confidence in this democratic dispensation. At any general elections, the process become glaringly manipulated by either by ballot stuffing, violence, alteration of figures, declaration of losers or sometimes outright rigging backed by state apparatus. In the final analysis dissatisfaction is provoked by shameless ballot stealing which from the immediate experience received the anger of the people. Therefore, discredited electoral process is also a form of conflict within our political context.

It is my opinion that election criminals including official collaborators within the system deserve the same consequences like corruption. There should be special courts created constitutionally to handle such cases to enhance speedy trials, while such verdicts should be executed within the soonest possible time after expiration of right of appeal. This wills deterrence prospective ballot criminals.

CONCLUSION:
The Nigerian federation I agreed is due for restructuring. The imbalance in the revenue sharing formula is another factor for underdevelopment. The center is strong and lucrative which breeds unhealthy competition. The revenue formula concedes enormous resources to the federation which has little relevance to welfare of citizens. The jumbo wages of Ministers, Special Advisers, and Members of the National Assembly in a year is sufficient to provide free education at all levels.

The derivative principle has been a subject of abuse as such funds are looted with fanfare and impunity by public officials instead of developments, consequently it requires review. For a viable federation the revenue formula should be restructured in this order, Federal Government- 25%, States-27%, Local Governments-30%, Derivation 13% and 5% Ecology and Disaster Management. It is my submission that the federation be restructured into a loose federation with more powers given to the federating units to enhance peace, unity, security, social harmony and development.
Also, I am calling for abolishing of Joint Account Allocation Committee of the States and all statutory allocations of the Local Governments should flow directly to the Councils. All relics of control of States on Local Governments in the constitution should be removed.

All elections into every office in Nigeria should be conducted by Independent National Electoral Commission; therefore, States Independent Electoral Commissions should be abolished. To guarantee credible electoral system, Constitutional powers of appointing the Chairman and all Commissioners of Independent National Electoral Commission be removed from the Office of the President and vest in the National Assembly through direct nominations by the people base on the South African model.

The appointment and control of Economic and Financial Crimes Commission and Independent Corrupt Practices Commission should be removed from the Office of the Attorney General of the Federation. The National Judicial Council should be saddled with the powers of nominating the officials subject to confirmation by the National Assembly for effective performance instead of been seen as machine for victimization of perceived political opponents.

Peace in not a good neighbor of injustice, therefore, in all public dealings there must be justice and fairness to all manner of people without fear or favor, only then can peace, unity and harmony flow like rivers Niger and Benue.

The clamor for National Sovereign Conference under Constitutional arrangements is an open invitation to political suicide. It will work if defector beneficiaries of power relinquished same for the emergence of another sovereign to preside over the liquidation of Nigeria. May we live not to see such in our time, Amen?

References:
1. MAZRUI, Ali A., (2001) “Shariacracy and Federal Models in the Era of Globalization: Nigeria in Comparative Perspective” -www.gamji.com. Accessed March 2001.

2. “Social contract." Encyclopedia Britannica. Ultimate Reference Suite. Chicago: Encyclopedia Britannica, 2012.

3. Robert Kennedy, “Day of Affirmation”, University of Cape Town, South Africa, June 6, 1966.

4. LOIMEIER, R 2003, Patterns and Peculiarities of Islamic Reform in Africa, Journal of Religion in Africa,(On-Line).

5. Vol.33, fasc.3, Islamic Thoughts in 20thhttp://www.jstor.org/stable/1581849 Accessed: 25/02/2009 - 10:05.

6. LUBECK, P, Lipschutz, R and Weeks, E, 2003, QEH Working Paper Series – QEHWPS106, The Globality of Islam: Sharia as a Nigerian Determination, London, April 2003.

7. Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Bola Tinubu, (2009) “Democratic Consolidation in Nigeria: Issues, Challenges and Prospects”,http://www.burningpot.com/ Assessed 29/6/2012-20:10.

DEVELOPMENT IN THE NORTH: RETROGRESSION OR PROGESS?

Introduction:
 Iam highly honoured to be chosen to share with this reputable audience my ideas on contemporary issues affecting Northern States. This opportunity to my mind is not to profer solutions to the complex political dynamics of the region which taking a look at the configuration of the personalities made me wonder why I was chosen for this herculean task. My guess  probably is that the organisers choice of my person may be based on the fact that from my background I may be capable of provoking cross fertilization of thoughts that will engage the experiences of the audience that may result in providing solutions to some challenges confronting the North.
    The choice of the topic could not have been more appropriate than now when things are falling apart when the centre can no longer hold. To me this African adage that the eve lamb cannot die in partuition when the elders are at home is been proven here today. Also significant is the choice of the audience, major stakeholders with the capacity to bring change in Northern States.
   Therefore, I concurred with the organisers in the choice of the topic believing that at the end of it all my opinions will instigate a development template that will bring succor to the predicaments of our people.
   I have employed practical approach to address the topic under discourse.
 Taking a close review of recent developments in Nigeria raises serious questions about the viability of the unholy Marriage of Sir Lord Luggard in 1914. Quite disturbing is the increasing profile of violent crimes, religious and ethnic tensions. Economic and social activities have been paralysed in most commercial cities of Northern States thereby adding weight to the fear of disintegration of the union in no distant future. Security challenges have dominated every national discourse. The insurgency question has been so much exaggerated and mystified that fear with mutual suspicion determines every aspect of public relationships.
   The Nigerian state has demonstrated in capacity to contend with the situation which obviously left the citizens in perpetual trauma. It is argued by some Analysts and Public Commentators that since the insurgency (Boko haram) originated from the North; therefore it is a conspiracy of Northern leadership to de stabilise the country because they are out of power. On the hand, some religious bigots argued that insurgency is a jihadic machine to Islamize Nigeria.
   The latter School of though is a misconception of some Christians while the former is a political theory of some Southern politicians to intimidate the Northern political class into surrender in 2015. Either way the situation is assessed the Northern States are in a dilemma due of ravaging hunger, abject poverty, unemployment, corruption and above all collapse of political leadership to navigate the people out of security quagmire. The summary of these enveloping state of near anarchy explains the panic response of clamouring for a National Sovereign Conference, (NSC) as a way of resolving certain national questions. There can be no any meaning progress in any human society without Peace. This is where a gathering of great leaders of the North like this cannot be considered to late.
   May I begin by asking what is the North? Is this North of Muslim against Arna? Or the North where the shout of "Allah wa kabar" will lead to killing and burning of properties? Better still is the North where you need "In Jesus Name to save your life on a public high ways? Are we taking about the North of the Indigenes-Settlers dichotomy? May be the Christian North and the Muslim North? You can go on endlessly asking these questions without answers.
   However, Northern Nigeria is the geographical expression lying between the Rivers Niger, Benue and the Republics of Cameroon, Chad and Niger. It is three quarters of the entire land mass of the country and made up of over one hundred ethnic nationalities, with diverse languages, customs, traditions, religions and cultural heritage. Politically, Northern States is configured into North West comprising of kaduna, katsina, Kano, jigawa, kebbi, sokoto, Zamara states, while the North Central includes Kwara, kogi, Niger, Nasarawa, Plateau, Benue, Taraba States and the FCT. The North East is made up of states like Bauchi, Gombe, Yobe, Adamawa and Borno.
    In appraising the state of development in the North the following questions must be considered. What is happening to Youth unemployment, social harmony, education, health, rural development, water resources and economy.

Corruption:
  According to Loimeier,(2003), Corrupt and power hungry politicians, who hijacked votes and self imposed leaders, declare billions of fictitious amounts of naira as assets only to be recouped as investments through falsification and over pricing of contracts awards, in spite of the existence of framework of due process and diligence in contract awards and procurement.
   Looting of public treasury has inflicted colossal damage to development. In every segments of public affairs, statistics indicated the domestication of poverty, hunger and youth unemployment through discredited Poverty Eradication or Empowerment Programs which are mere conduits for siphoning public wealth. The rate of citizens surviving beyond poverty margin is quite outrageous but government continues giving lips service to these social questions..
Therefore, instability will determine the context of the social environment which to my mind explains succinctly the current security challenges confronting the region.
   Addressing these conflict situations requires radical leadership surgery with the determination to lay solid base for peace and harmony. Leadership is a burden which must not be sacrifice for political convenience even when it is clear that the figure under consideration may lack the capacity to pilot affairs. Severe sanctions including death penalty is hereby recommended as alternative to combating corrupt practices.

Youth Unemployment:
 In Nigeria there is no generally accepted definition of youth. The concept is conveniently manipulated in favour of prevailing social dynamics. The age of 18 is recognised by statutes as the age of criminal liability and qualification for holding public responsibilities. The only attempt to define youth is contained in the National Youth Policy which defines youth as any person within the ages of 18 and 35. Even this provisions is observed more in breached since majority of the officers of the National Youth Council of Nigeria are in their late 50’s and early 60’s.
   Little wonder the National Youth Leader of the ruling party is said to be over 60 years of age, a scenario that defeats the hope for the upcoming generation. The graduation with the definition of the concept youth from the older generation to the graves without consideration for future is a major factor responsible for distrust that contributed to current social instability. Unless deliberate efforts are mobilized by the advance generation to regularise this negative trends mutual suspicion will continue will dominate social harmony.
The saying that the youth are leaders of tomorrow must be practically guaranteed. There must be Concrete policies for re-orientating the youths in preparation for higher responsibilities. Therefore, there is need for the Northern Governors Forum to develop a Youth Development Policy that will be uniformly implemented with commitments to regenerate confidence in the youths.
   The Northern States enjoyed stability for long until in the early Eighties when religious fundamentalism ignited social convulsions with the Maitasine crisis in Kano, Bulunkutu in Borno State, Yola in the then Gongola State, Kafanchan crisis which later spread to Kaduna and Katsina in the then Kaduna State, etc. This paradigm shift in religious ideology was not limited to any of the dominant faiths but evolved simultaneously from the late Sixties and erupted into violent conflict situations during the Second Republic with severe consequences on peaceful co-existence. What went wrong?
   Opinions varied about factors responsible for the evolution of culture of violence on the Northern landscape. Of great concern is the introduction of armed struggle as means of realising ideological objectives. It has been contended that rising ideological differentiation within religious groups has heightened the culture of intolerance between the heterogeneous nationalities of Northern Nigeria. These ideological driven groups earlier emerged as puristic movements but gradually metamorphosed into armed struggle within the same religion or the state. Religious mandate from Holy Scriptures is usually referred to as the motivational drive and obedience to Almighty God becomes the justification.. Anything to the contrary generate hostility that usually occasioned heated debates with ultimately violent clashes.
   No doubt, fanaticism as a variety of emerging religious ideology has contributed greatly in escalating conflicts however, it does not offer acceptable justification.  It looks more of an escape theory intended to evade critical evaluation of the issues at stake. Granted revivalists driven ideology has impacted negatively on Northern polity however there must be contributory factors
   On the other-side of the debate are those who opined that ideological differentiation has been in the Northern States for decades yet communities have co-existed harmonious.. It further stated that the question of disharmony is outside religion but there are political forces that manipulate the religious environment to advance parochial interests. It is further submitted that the collapse of the political institution is the responsible for instigating ideological embers of disharmony considering the diminishing welfare conditions of majority of the populace.
Early Greek Political thinkers like Democritus, had argued “that since modern civilisation has failed man, man should revert to the state of nature and co-habitat like in the animal kingdom”. This extreme solution suggests that failure of political leadership can provoke serious frustration with grave consequences on the social system..
   No wonder, leadership failure has encouraged the emergence of arm carrying groups. From the Niger-delta militancy to OPC, Bakasi boys, MOSSOB, endemic human carnage of Plateau Taraba, Nasarawa and Kaduna States up to Alih Sunnah lidah wati wal Jihad, are indices of leadership malice. At the centre of leadership collapse is brazen corruption with impunity. The display of ill gotten wealth by public officials has frustrated the upcoming generations questioning the saying that the “youths are leaders of tomorrow” is not mere subterfuge. If at the age of fifty in this country, yet one is not qualify to hold the position of National Youth Leader of even a political party, then where lies the hope for a tomorrow?
   It is therefore academic fallacy to conclude that the concept boko haram meaning “Western Civilisation is prohibited” originated from the Alih Sunnah lidah wati wal Jihad arm struggle. It has existed as far back as 4BC in the ancient Greece. The difference here lies with the strategy of prosecution, while Democtritus advocated reversion to status quo ante to drive his ideas the Revivalists Movements adopted armed struggle option.
   Reviewing critically these theories and applying same to Northern States, there is no gain saying that collapse of leadership has resulted in abandoning welfare philosophy of founding fathers for ostentatious family empires. This created not only moral but institutional decay that bred frustration and hatred amongst the peoples of Northern States.
   Religion and ethnicity in my candid opinion is merely a tool of manipulating perpetual division amongst the people., while crisis persist funds meant for development are looted from public treasury in the name of security votes. The argument in favour of religion as basis for social disharmony is conspiracy theory of benefactors of the conflict situation. While killings of one another continues the ruling class with their families are either in Abuja, Egypt, Dubai, China or any part of Europe monitoring it on International channels. What an irony?
   Of course, if the conflict situations is propelled by religion as its being presented why has the casualties remained within the circle of the poor? It has never escalated into any of the Government Reserved Areas? In any case what is the religion of poverty and what is the tribe of hunger? It is my opinion that the day the poor people provide answers to these questions it is by then enduring peace will reign Northern States.
   Sir Ahmadu Bello, the Sarduana of Sokoto and Premier of Northern Nigeria was a great leader who never promoted ethnic chauvinism or religious bigotry. As a Muslim he accommodated Christians and other non Muslims in his leadership. This was a man who took Audu Micheal Buba to Mecca even as a Christian. To Sarduana, leadership is distinct from wealth accumulation, any person with crave for material accumulation has no business been in politics. This father of the Northern Region along with other leaders like Aminu Kano, J.S Tarka, Abubakar Tafawa Belewa even though had their political and religious differences considered the interest of the North as paramount and stopped at nothing to defend it. No wonder, the ideology of “one North, one people, one destiny”. Where are the Sarduanas, Tarkas, Aminu Kano and the Tafawa Balewas of the North today?

Challenges Against Development of the North:
Religious and Ethnic intolerance: Christians and Muslims locked horns in human carnage claiming to be serving the will of Almighty God who created life. The manner these differences had contributed to social convulsion is beyond conception. I have as a person always questioned the rationale of this line of human reasoning. The Holy Bible says “God created man in His own image and likeness” meaning that man is the image of God on earth. So if you kill another human being you are destroying the image of God. More so that the Ten Commandments say “thou shall not kill”. Here the Scriptures does not provide for justification for shedding innocent blood.  So where do those who killed in the name of Christianity derive their authority?
   Historically, there has been no any war between Christianity and Islam. The two religions have complimented the efforts of each other in times of external threats. It is on record that early Muslims were provided refuge by Christians. To be precise, at the early stage of Islam, in the Arabian Peninsula of Mecca Muslims were persecuted because it was threat to the establishment.
   In a reaction Prophet Muhammad Bin Abdullah (Peace be upon Him) asked his followers flee to Abyssinia, which is today’s Ethiopia. He said there was a Christian king, but a man of justice. Indeed, King Negus of Abyssinia resisted diplomatic efforts by the Mecca authorities to extradite them because according to King Negus, Islamic religion and Christianity originate from the same source, because they both believed in Jesus as the son of Mary.
   In a letter of appreciation written to King Negus by Messenger of God, Mohammed , categorical stated that there is no jihad against the Christians because they are Men of the Book. He further instructed that no Muslim should raise his hands against the Christians or their worship places. Why has Christians and Muslims of today abandoned these virtues of early Spiritual leaders? Are we today more pious than them? Certainly No, except that we are more corrupt than them. Religion have politicised as an enterprise not for the service of God but self serving.

Social Injustice
The discrimination of certain ethnic nationalities as settlers in the Northern States has inflamed the conflict dimension. This phenomena entails denial of basic citizen rights to populations considered non indigenous. The Indigene-Settler dichotomy even though unconstitutional is well entrenched in sub consciousness of leadership of most Northern States.
   Even though some ethnic nationalities have stayed for over two hundred years and melted into the social system of such communities they are yet qualify to be citizens of those States. This ugly scenario is notorious in Taraba, Benue, Nasarawa, Plateau and Kaduna states. It has led to different clashes between Tiv/Jukun, Tiv/Alago, Tarok/Hausa-Fulani, Berom/Hausa-Fulani, Kataf/Hausa-Fulani etc. The dangerous trend these conflicts has taken is indoctrination of ethnic hatred as social values in the crisis infected areas. There is no doubt that the future can better be analysed within the parameters of this negative development.
   Poverty and hunger:
The essence of leadership is improving the welfare of members of the society. Most significant is protection of lives and properties, creation of conducive environment for wealth creation. In the North these leadership roles has been abandoned overtime, consequently poverty and hunger is on the increase. These have destroyed capacity building of the society thereby impoverishing the people.
   Where the society is properly organised with people engaged in economic activities, then violent culture will be minimised, because the people will be stake holders in managing the affairs of their society. On the contrary, where the citizens are alienated as it is the case now in the North, people have been reduced to mere tools for manipulation by the privillege ruling elites.
   Even though the Northern States lack nothing in terms of natural resources, these have not been properly exploited for the benefit of development. Instead, the various State governments over depended on Federal allocations which if maximise for harnessing the rich potentials will have alter the status quo.
   Indeed, the current security challenges can be factored within the theory. People are so poor that what to eat as human beings are insurmountable hurdles. I shed tears in Jos one day when at a car wash an elderly woman with her granddaughter has nothing to survive on except to pick mangos from a tree. The situation is so bad that people have resorted to the state of nature for survival.
The consequences of irresponsible leadership has generated grave contention in human development, as a result all variants of violent behaviours dominated human atmosphere. Minor gestures can provoke explosive reaction due to tension created by poverty, hunger or unemployment.
   Therefore, it is imperative that in addressing to development imperatives a heterogeneous social system, genuine efforts must be tailored towards combating poverty, hunger and unemployment. As a people with common destiny the need for patriotism as corner stone integration must be prioritised. Governments of Conscious Northern States should initiate policies that will integrate curriculum on understanding of the Northern social system must be develop as curriculum at all levels of socialization processes..
   The Northernization policy of Sarduna of Sokoto was a policy intended to mobilise the diversity of the people towards building an egalitarian society base on equity and justice. It contributed in no small measured to spur the Northern spirit for development. Anywhere, the people go they were proud to identify themselves as Northerners. Is the situation the same today?
Its pathetic that ethnic chauvinism has replaced regional consciousness. These negative tendencies are re-enforced by bad leadership in collaboration with parochial sentiments. The Northern States will be better for it when human development will focus on developing selfless leadership patterned on the philosophy of founding fathers.
   The search of durable harmony in a heterogeneous society like the Northern States will remain mere lips service without viable economic foundations. Over depending on Oil resources as means of economic sustenance is counterproductive. There is the need for the Northern political leadership to evolve an economic blue print that should be consensus of the Northern Governors Forum which shall be religiously implemented to kick start the economy. The non chalant attitude of leadership to critical segments of development must changed. Proponents of disintegration erroneous believed that Northern States are mere leeches’ parasiting on oil resources without anya contributions to justify drawing from the national treasury.
   Personally, Iam convinced that Northern Political leadership created the basis for insulting our integrity as a people..
Operating on this misconception, Northerners are targets of humiliation in most Southern cities. The point is Northern States have nothing to lose if Nigeria disintegrates because real estate assets and investments of Southern States citizens in Northern States is more than oil resources. Also, the agricultural resources of Northern states are the highest indices to Nations Growth Domestic Products (GDP), therefore, what is the fear? Northern States can do better only if political leadership concentrates on effective utilisation of the un exploited natural resources.
   There was no oil when tin, ground, cotton and hides and skin was the main stay of the Nation’s economy and foreign reserve earner. The Northern States must reverse to this economic foundation as spring board for re- launching into relevant from oil dependency theory.
   The future of Northern Nigeria:
Having analysed some of the challenges developments, it is suggested here that the following measures are key to promoting economic growth and developments.
  (a)  Total commitments to peace and social harmony capacity building.
   (b) "Injustice any anywhere is a threat to justice everywhere" argued the former American President, Abraham Lincoln; there must be deliberate policy of evolving justice in all social systems. Discrimination of all forms must be discouraged. Inter marriages between the diverse peoples and cultures must be pursuit as a conscious social policy for integration..
   (c) Poverty is at the centre of all human vices and must be challenge head long with the desire zeal. As an interim measures, governments of Northern states should contribute five hundred million Naira each in a common purse for establishing of Poverty Management Commission with the Head Office in Kaduna. There should be Zonal Offices in the three Zones, North East, West, and Central to be manned by Zonal Co-ordinators, while States, Local Governments and Ward Offices respectively should be established. The funds should be managed by reputable persons chosen on merit and credibility from all the states appointed as Trustees. This economic shock absorbers measure should engage the unemployed productive segment of the society in all sectors of the economy. Thereafter, all previous economic blue prints in the archives should be revisited and implemented. It is a necessary panacea to raving social crisis endemic in Northern states. Of like the saying goes "an empty stomach does not hear the voice of gospel".
   (e) The security challenges of the Northern States ranges from religious to ethnic strife, violent crimes, drug addiction, prostitution, looting, election rigging, etc. All these are crimes associated with lack of legitimate leadership. Electoral processes are not credible, worse still, beneficiaries of such processes compounds the situation with auspicious life style of corruption.
   Governance has been converted into management of personal estates only for occupiers of Government Houses and family members, surrogates, committee of friends etc. With this style of leadership social stability is better imagined.
   We must agree to live by the dictates of our faiths and remember that God will hold every soul accountable for stewardship on earth. The conventional method of engaging traditional institutions security management has to be re invigorated. Governments should invest more of the security votes on these methods against the background of current wastage on Joint Task Force, Special Task Force and whatever form of Task Forces that produce little or no results instead it has militarized the polity.
   (f)  Northern States must restore its political identity as custodians of the Nigerian Political Project and in realising this it cannot close its eyes to political developments in the Southern States. Northern States must adopt its own political party just like other places, all states, National Assemblies, state assemblies and Local Councils elections must be on this platform, then at the centre there will be negotiation of power.
   (g)  The attitudes of public office holders in dealing with the question of good governance must be anchored on selfless service. The people must be seen as tall stake holders in governance and not tools of domination by their own very people. Corruption has destroyed the social fabric of our inheritance as a people. For Northern States to play its traditional role as buffer of Nigerian politics, corruption must be fought to its nearest minimum. Public officials must be held accountable for their actions and criticisms of wrong doing cannot be criminalised or denied access to economic mainstream of the state based on political opinions.
   (h)   Education is the only assets Northern States has to be relevant in the political configuration of the geo- political entity called Nigeria. The present state of educational development has no link with the vision of the founding fathers. The school system must be places of socialization and not mere avenues for engagement of the youths. The system must be fashion based on culture, traditions, values and beliefs to accommodate psyche of active participation. It therefore, requires leadership by example, where children must be given equal opportunities against the background of some studying abroad while the children of the poor languished in unfunded school system here at home.
   (I)  The God given pride of Northern States is agriculture. It is this sector that sustained the Northern Region. It was the main stay of Nigerian economy before the curse called oil was discovered. Today, this vital sector still plays a fundamental role in driving the economy but at subsistence level.
   The embarrassment suffered by the peoples of Northern Nigeria as a result of the neglect of this sector explains contemporary National discourse on the future of Nigeria. The disservice of un-visionary leadership cannot be pardoned by posterity. May I asked, do we deserve the insults we received from our brothers in the Southern part of this country? Why are leaders so insensitive to these incessant attacks hauled on the people of the Northern Nigeria? Are we mere parasites depending on oil resources without any contributions to the national economy as it is argued? Simply put the answer, the leadership abandoned God’s gift of agriculture for oil, while the people are been humiliated.
   We must retrace our steps back to where we missed it. In doing this, ground nuts pyramids must return, cotton production must return, hides and skin must return, tin mining must return, irrigation farming must return, and then we sing the songs of our founding fathers, One North, One people, one destiny. Anything short of these will reduce as to mere pawns in the political ball game of the Nigerian federation.

Conclusion:
Finally, the Hausa adage that “mutuwar uwar adashe ba karshe adashe bane” is germane in canvassing the position of Northern States as the debate for the National Sovereign Conference heats up. The North has equity in whatever today is referred to as oil in Nigeria. It was from the resources of Northern States that Lagos, Calabar, Port Harcourt and other Southern cites were developed. Even the oil exploration equipment were acquired with resources from tin mining, ground nut, cotton, hide and skin from Northern State.
   Therefore, it is fraudulent to demand resource control without discharging the equity on it. Before control, all equities on the resources must be discharged and this should be the beginning of the national debate and not employment of cheap blackmail to rob other segments of their rights. The oil remains birthright until the equity's discharged.
   The Nigerian federation I agreed is due for restructuring. The imbalance in the revenue sharing formula is responsible for under development. The centre is strong and lucrative which breeds unhealthy competition at the centre. The formula concedes enormous wealth for the federation which has no relevance to welfare of citizens. The wages of Ministers, Special Advisers, and Members of the National Assembly in a year is more than the entire annual budgets of six states in the Northern Nigeria.
    Therefore, for a healthy federation and rapid development the revenue formula should be restructured in this order, Federal Government- 25%, States-30%, Local Governments-45%. Therefore, instead of the derivative principle, it is my submission that the federation be restructured into a loose federation with more powers given to the federating units to enhance peace, unity, security, social harmony and development.
   It is my submission that Joint Account Allocation Committee of the States has over stayed its constitutional welcome. All allocations of the Local Governments should flow directly to the Councils. All relics of control of States on Local Governments in the Constitution should be expunged. There can be no good governance and by implication peace and by extension development without credible elections.
Therefore all elections into every office in Nigeria should be conducted by Independent National Electoral Commission. With this you will agree with me that States Independent Electoral Commissions is no more useful to stable democracy and also should be abolished. To guarantee credible electoral system, Constitutional powers of appointing the Chairman and all Commissioners of Independent National Electoral Commission be removed from the Office of the President and vest in the National Assembly through direct nominations by the people base on the option A4.
   The appointment and control of Economic and Financial Crimes Commission and Independent Corrupt Practices Commission should also be removed from the Office of the Attorney General of the Federation. The National Judicial Council should be vested with the powers of nominating the officials subject to confirmation by the National Assembly for effective performance instead of been used as machine for victimisation of perceived political opponents.
   Peace in not a good neighbour of injustice, therefore, in all dealings public officials must be just and fair to all manner of people without fear or favor, then peace, unity, harmony and development will flow like the Rivers Niger and Benue in the North.
   The clamour for National Sovereign Conference under Constitutional arrangements is macabre dance will ultimately consume the sponsors. The North is not afraid of National Sovereign Conference but at the same time we cannot abdicate our responsibilities as custodians of the union to the excesses of failed leadership. The unity of the country was defended by people's blood; therefore it will amount to betrayal of trust if power shift will mean disintegration in some quarters.
 Nigeria will remain a sovereign indissoluble nation under God.
Thank you for your patience and God bless you all.